Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.650378 0.727783 0.811782 0.909878 1.021507 1.144824 1.291705
2025-02-23 0.533981 0.640548 0.765562 0.923782 1.119728 1.355764 1.663625
2025-03-02 0.454030 0.569612 0.712238 0.902581 1.152056 1.470792 1.913485
2025-03-09 0.412002 0.536361 0.696396 0.919691 1.226763 1.639412 2.244735
2025-03-16 0.370260 0.497046 0.666014 0.910772 1.261386 1.753412 2.510236
2025-03-23 0.342120 0.472101 0.650878 0.918808 1.317243 1.899221 2.834951
2025-03-30 0.312386 0.441526 0.624103 0.906037 1.339419 1.995484 3.093294
2025-04-06 0.289064 0.417681 0.604205 0.900362 1.369953 2.105213 3.383177
2025-04-13 0.260416 0.383406 0.565674 0.862057 1.344737 2.122926 3.521188
2025-04-20 0.247074 0.370962 0.558780 0.871960 1.396660 2.269419 3.894633
2025-04-27 0.235261 0.359800 0.552699 0.882118 1.449164 2.421074 4.294613
2025-05-04 0.223912 0.348406 0.545152 0.888787 1.495680 2.566082 4.699245
2025-05-11 0.212540 0.336388 0.536045 0.892644 1.538786 2.711650 5.129020
2025-05-18 0.204218 0.328771 0.533612 0.907815 1.603711 2.904494 5.679915
2025-05-25 0.190258 0.310671 0.512032 0.886900 1.599469 2.964948 5.965736
2025-06-01 0.183908 0.305044 0.511385 0.903686 1.667871 3.173734 6.595477
2025-06-08 0.173995 0.292531 0.497691 0.894940 1.685480 3.281947 7.018323
2025-06-15 0.167424 0.285434 0.493075 0.902819 1.736576 3.464097 7.635044
2025-06-22 0.158413 0.273371 0.478576 0.890297 1.744668 3.555595 8.050915
2025-06-29 0.151050 0.263836 0.468075 0.884733 1.766559 3.679078 8.562333
2025-07-06 0.140014 0.246889 0.442615 0.847173 1.716832 3.637641 8.653678
2025-07-13 0.135773 0.242363 0.440438 0.856884 1.770480 3.837095 9.396358
2025-07-20 0.131814 0.238117 0.438491 0.866845 1.825517 4.045812 10.197092